US Open draw…

I thought that this would be the first slam in a trillion years where top seeds can go out early. Due to the tight North American-Olympics-jetlagging-tiring-season. It can still happen, but looking at the draw I see that most of our “favorites” are good to go.

Nadal has Troicki, Querrey, Karlovic and Kohlshreiber as immediate threats. He can run into Blake, Monfils, Ferrer or Nalby in a QF.

On the opposite side, Federer has Stepanek (l. in Rome) in 3rd round and Verdasco? in 4th. Federer’s road to a QF looks very, very good.

We have talked a lot about Murray, as he finally achieved to win a Masters series title. Just like Nalbandian or Ferrer or even Davydenko, you never know with Murray. He can go out early, but the road at the 2008 US Open, looks very OPEN. He has some difficult players like Llodra, Lopez, Youzhny or Wawrinka, but if he wants to win, or even make a PB with a SF appearance, then WIN!

Ferrer has only Isner as immediate threat, but IMO Ferrer can go out anytime. He just lacks the stability and hasn’t played good tennis since clay season. If he does, Del Potro could be waiting in a 4th round. Speaking of which, the 19 cons. winner Del Potro might also get by his 3 first matches to reach a 4th round. Even Isner or Ferrer might be beatable this time. He might get to a QF, but Murray might stop him there.

Davydenko cannot get to a SF and defend his points. I think he will lose early. Besides, he is in Federer quarter, so no chance.

Roddick is probably the least happy camper. Santoro for a 1st round is torture. Especially since he lost last meeting. I smell an upset of catastrophic dementions for Roddick. If Santoro can’t do it, can Gulbis do it in 2nd? Maybe. If no, then the road is much better. Gonzo seems like a possible 4th round opponent and Djokovic in QF. A Roddick Djokovic QF is possible, but the road for Djokovic is so much easier. Just frickin’ kidding. Poor bastard has the hardest draws ever! Last year I thought his gas tank would go empty before the 4th round. Once again, he has some fighters and MUCH stronger opponents than his two rivals. Clement in 1st, Mahut in 2nd, Cilic/Ginepri in 3rd, Safin/Tsonga in 4th. By the time he hits QF and perhaps Roddick, he might be seeing spots. And yeah, that’s right SAFIN! Maybe he has gained some respect for the older Russian after Wimbledon.

I think this will be the hardest slam to predict, but I will give it a go for the last 16 players:

Nadal-Karlovic – Karlovic finally makes a “break” in slams
Blake-Monfils – if Monfils isn’t hurt before Monday
Isner-Del Potro – in theory Isner and Karlovic should go far, in reality…..
Youzhny-Murray – this could be a nice one!
Roddick-Gonzalez – Not confident about these picks anymore.
Safin-Djokovic – Watch out Djoko!
Davydenko-Tipsarevic – Not too confident about these guys either
Verdasco-Federer – most confident about these actually! Easy road for both IMO

Comments…

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